Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #43
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #8
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Highland Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 548 480 473 516 556 499 518 522 458 593 564 628
Team Adjusted Rating 480 473 516 556 499 518 522 458 593 564 628
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison (WL) Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
156  Vincent Vanderveen 12 16:53 16:42 16:41 17:00 16:44 16:48 16:56 16:51 16:47 16:58 16:57 17:07
318  Riley Petrovich 10 17:25 17:40 17:05 17:08 17:19 17:32 17:15 17:19 17:11 17:42 17:23 17:47
330  Drew McGrath 10 17:26 17:12 17:27 17:46 17:32 17:06 17:27 17:14 17:14 17:37 17:30 17:34
340  Ethan Shassberger 12 17:27 17:25 17:25 17:56 17:33 17:27 17:32 17:18 17:22 17:17 17:33
455  Austin Wojcik 10 17:42 17:56 17:15 17:58 17:39 17:16 17:27 17:37 17:16 17:58 18:11 17:55
516  Kaden Smith 11 17:47 17:30 17:27 17:11 17:44 17:39 17:35 17:48 17:47 17:48 18:00 18:37
698  Avery Ramos 12 18:06 18:19 18:19 18:26 18:14 18:08 17:52 18:02 17:56
728  Roger Ochoa 10 18:09 18:20 17:59 18:10 18:21 18:01 18:12 17:59 18:15
794  Evan Smith 9 18:15
837  Tyler Gagliardi 10 18:19 18:29 18:24 18:14 18:24 18:23 18:22 18:23 18:02
915  Trey Scheub 12 18:25 17:11 18:49 18:45 18:04 18:21 18:50 18:08 19:14 18:18
989  Ryder Thompson 10 18:31 18:03 18:05 18:27 18:31 18:43 18:50
1,038  Nathan Jendreas 12 18:35 18:55 18:33 18:49 18:56 18:35 18:19 18:22 18:43
1,064  Antoni Jablonski 10 18:38 18:45 18:39 18:14 19:14 18:40 18:29
1,107  Corey Napiwocki 11 18:41 18:39 18:32 18:31 18:41 18:49 18:45 18:48 18:40
1,142  Dylan Dieringer 12 18:44 18:37 18:16 18:54 18:54 18:48
1,192  Brian Wojcik 10 18:46 18:35 18:33 19:00 18:34 20:31 18:07 19:16 18:40
1,202  Ben Schmitt 12 18:47 18:38 18:43 18:34 18:43 18:43 18:33 19:02 19:16
Jack Hurubean 9 19:04 20:28 20:25 19:25 18:34 18:46 19:03 18:58 19:04
Dylan Lopez 11 19:07 19:13 19:01 18:59 19:42 19:39 18:39 19:05
Miles Moore 12 19:09 19:18 18:34 19:06 18:56 19:06 19:24 19:33
Sebastian Groszek 10 19:13 19:07 19:26 20:00 19:09 19:27 18:56 19:01 19:13
Patrick Ryan 9 19:19 19:28 19:21 19:49 19:47 19:36 19:13 18:59 19:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 7.3 205 0.2 1.2 3.7 6.9 11.3 14.5 16.8 15.1 12.7 8.6 5.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.8 77 17.1 27.0 27.1 16.7 11.9 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.6 31 44.8 55.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vincent Vanderveen 36.0% 111.8 36.0% 36.0%
Riley Petrovich 0.1% 144.0 0.1% 0.1%
Drew McGrath 0.1% 141.8 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.4 3.3 3.4 4.4 4.3 4.7 4.6 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.3 4.5 100.0%
Riley Petrovich 100% 51.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Drew McGrath 100% 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ethan Shassberger 100% 54.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Austin Wojcik 100% 78.7 99.4%
Kaden Smith 100% 89.2 98.0%
Avery Ramos 100% 121.4 74.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 6.2 0.3 1.8 3.8 7.4 13.9 19.8 17.7 11.9 9.9 6.1 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Riley Petrovich 100% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 3.8 5.6 7.5 8.5 9.1 9.0 8.7 7.7 6.5 5.3 4.6 3.9 3.6 2.7 2.2 1.8 100.0%
Drew McGrath 100% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 3.2 4.6 6.3 8.2 8.7 9.1 8.3 7.7 6.7 6.1 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.4 100.0%
Ethan Shassberger 100% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.4 4.4 5.6 7.0 7.9 8.5 8.2 7.5 7.3 6.6 5.6 5.1 4.3 3.5 3.3 2.6 100.0%
Austin Wojcik 100% 24.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.4 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.1 5.2 5.4 5.5 6.3 6.1 5.9 100.0%
Kaden Smith 100% 28.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.3 4.4 5.3 100.0%
Avery Ramos 100% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Vincent Vanderveen 1.0 68.6 18.1 9.0 3.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Riley Petrovich 5.5 0.0 4.4 8.1 12.5 16.4 17.4 14.6 11.0 7.2 4.4 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
Drew McGrath 5.9 2.9 6.1 10.2 15.4 17.1 15.0 12.3 8.7 5.9 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
Ethan Shassberger 6.2 2.5 4.9 9.5 14.2 15.9 16.2 13.3 9.2 6.8 4.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
Austin Wojcik 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.8 9.2 13.9 14.9 15.1 18.0 14.3 5.8 0.6 0.0
Kaden Smith 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 4.3 7.7 11.8 13.7 17.7 23.9 15.6 2.7 0.1 0.0
Avery Ramos 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.4 6.9 24.4 47.4 14.4 1.3 0.1